Moodys Tenencia Represent A ad Desperdiciada

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    Rating Action: Moody's: tenencia representa oportunidaddesperdiciada para finanzas estatales

    Global Credit Research - 14 Feb 2012

    Mexico, February 14, 2012 -- Moody's Investors Service public un nuevo reporte sobre los esquemasadoptados por los estados mexicanos en torno a la tenencia estatal. De los 25 estados calificados porMoody's, slo uno opt por mantener la recaudacin de dicho impuesto mediante un nuevo impuesto localcon el mismo esquema fiscal. Para el resto de los estados, el no sustituir este impuesto por un impuestolocal representa una oportunidad desperdiciada para evitar un deterioro de la flexibilidad financiera.

    "La decisin de la mayora de los estados de no crear un impuesto estatal sobre tenencia o de disminuirel peso de la recaudacin de este impuesto, refleja una falta de compromiso por mantener su esfuerzorecaudatorio lo que, claramente, va en detrimento de su flexibilidad financiera," coment Rodolfo Torres,analista de Moody's y co-autor del reporte.

    En 2010, el impuesto sobre la tenencia o uso de vehculos represent un porcentaje bajo dentro del totalde los ingresos estatales. Sin embargo, cuando se mide este impuesto como porcentaje de los ingresosno etiquetados, se observa que la eliminacin o reduccin de este ingreso limita, an ms, la frgilflexibilidad financiera de los estados.

    "El resultado final refleja que los estados mexicanos no cuentan con estrategias financieras de largoplazo," dijo Mara del Carmen Martnez, analista de Moody's y co-autora del reporte. "El no aprovechar laoportunidad de fortalecer los ingresos propios, incrementa an ms la dependencia de los estados de lastransferencias del gobierno federal."

    El reporte seala que los estados debern asumir directamente la reduccin de sus ingresos noetiquetados mediante acciones de contencin del gasto o buscando fuentes alternativas de ingresos.

    "En el contexto electoral por el que atraviesa el pas, la implementacin de dichas medidas enfrentarbarreras adicionales que dificultarn su exitosa instrumentacin. Ante la ausencia de medidascompensatorias, las finanzas estatales se podrn ver presionadas en el mediano plazo lo que, enconjunto con otros factores crediticios, podra detonar acciones a la baja en las calificaciones," agregRodolfo Torres.

    Por ltimo el reporte menciona que el impacto en las finanzas municipales ser neutral debido a la bajaparticipacin de las transferencias provenientes de este impuesto en los ingresos totales municipales y auna mayor flexibilidad financiera.

    El reporte es una actualizacin para los mercados y no constituye una accin de calificacin. El reporteest disponible en www.moodys.com.mx

    Rodolfo TorresAssociate AnalystSub-Sovereign GroupMoody's de Mexico S.A. de C.VAve. Paseo de las PalmasNo. 405 - 502Col. Lomas de ChapultepecMexico, DF 11000Mexico

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    JOURNALISTS: 001-888-779-5833SUBSCRIBERS:52-55-1253-5700

    David RubinoffMD - Sub-SovereignsSub-Sovereign Group

    JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454

    Releasing Office:Moody's de Mexico S.A. de C.VAve. Paseo de las PalmasNo. 405 - 502Col. Lomas de ChapultepecMexico, DF 11000MexicoJOURNALISTS: 001-888-779-5833SUBSCRIBERS:52-55-1253-5700

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